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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.23% ( -0.1) | 22.94% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.32) | 41.96% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.32) | 64.37% ( 0.32) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( -0.15) | 16.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( -0.27) | 45.54% ( 0.27) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -0.15) | 30.4% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( -0.18) | 66.6% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.83% |
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