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NE
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
CF

New England
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Gil (45+3')
Gil (45+2'), Polster (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arfield (75'), Copetti (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Charlotte FC

Neither team is in particularly good form heading into this one and both will feel that a win is achievable. That said, we are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawCharlotte FC
48.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.22% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.86% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)45.02% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)67.37% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15% (0.012 0.01)49.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)30.16% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)66.31% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.72%
    Charlotte FC 27.22%
    Draw 24.06%
New England RevolutionDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.72%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 27.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 0-4 America
Wednesday, April 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 17 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Alajuelense 1-1 New England
Friday, March 15 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Atlanta 4-1 New England
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 4-0 Alajuelense
Wednesday, March 6 at 11pm in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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