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League Two | Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
DR

Colchester
1 - 4
Doncaster

Fevrier (9')
Iandolo (13'), Harbottle (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Molyneux (14'), Biggins (22'), Anderson (76'), Ironside (85')
Sterry (17'), Ironside (45+3'), Biggins (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-2 Barrow
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 0-2 Doncaster Rovers

The visitors come into this game as the most in-form team in the league thanks to winning all of their last nine outings in League Two, leaving them as the strong favourites to win this one and move into the playoff positions ahead of the final match of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
36.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 38.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.77% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (0.016000000000005 0.02)46.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)25.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.033999999999999 0.03)60.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.04% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 36.25%
    Doncaster Rovers 38.49%
    Draw 25.27%
Colchester UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.25%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Colchester
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Colchester
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-2 Barrow
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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