Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
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