Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
0.23) 
-0.25) 
