SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Colo-Colo | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
45.39% ( 0.54) | 25.93% ( -0.17) | 28.68% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( 0.47) | 52.02% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( 0.4) | 73.75% ( -0.41) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.45) | 22.87% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.67) | 56.6% ( -0.68) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( -0.04) | 32.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( -0.05) | 69.27% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colo-Colo | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.68% |
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