Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Bolivar 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Having claimed maximum points against the stronger sides in Group C, Bolivar should be confident of another victory against struggling Cerro Porteno to make it three wins from three at Estadio Hernando Siles.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
| Result |
| Bolivar | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
54.74% ( 0) | 22.83% ( -0) | 22.43% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.01) |
| 56% ( 0.02) | 43.99% ( -0.02) |
| 33.62% ( 0.02) | 66.38% ( -0.02) |
| 84.02% ( 0.01) | 15.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.01) | 45.27% ( -0.01) |
| 66.44% ( 0.01) | 33.56% ( -0.01) |
