SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
66.87% ( -0.14) | 18.94% ( 0.11) | 14.18% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.45) | 39.93% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% ( -0.46) | 62.29% ( 0.46) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.16) | 11.05% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.6% ( -0.36) | 35.39% ( 0.36) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% ( -0.23) | 40.42% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.96% ( -0.21) | 77.04% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.87% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.94% | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.18% |
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