SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Barcelona SC |
57.73% ( -0.87) | 23.97% ( 0.37) | 18.3% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.72) | 53.78% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.61) | 75.26% ( 0.6) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( -0.59) | 18.45% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% ( -1) | 49.62% ( 1) |
| Barcelona SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.18) | 43.47% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( 0.15) | 79.68% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Barcelona SC |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
