Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
-0.87) 
0.37) 
