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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio

America Mineiro
5 - 1
Colo-Colo

Matheusinho (6', 25'), Mastriani (21', 85'), Gabriel Saldivia Vazquez (90+4' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Thompson (62')
Pavez (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: America Mineiro 1-1 Colo-Colo (Colo-Colo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Colo-Colo come into this clash with momentum, and that should be enough to secure a draw against America in Brazil, assuring the Chilean side of passage into the round of 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawColo-Colo
51.72%24.91%23.36%
Both teams to score 50.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24%51.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47%73.52%
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80%20%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81%52.18%
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99%37.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2%73.79%
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 51.72%
    Colo-Colo 23.36%
    Draw 24.91%
America MineiroDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 9.53%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.36%
1-2 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 23.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Coritiba 3-1 America Mineiro
Saturday, July 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 America Mineiro
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Penarol 1-2 America Mineiro
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 America Mineiro
Tuesday, July 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, June 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Monagas 1-1 Colo-Colo
Tuesday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Monagas
Thursday, April 20 at 2am in Copa Libertadores


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