SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Bolivar |
54.54% ( -1.79) | 23.67% ( 0.33) | 21.79% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( 0.39) | 48.32% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.35) | 70.46% ( -0.35) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.51) | 17.6% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( -0.89) | 48.18% ( 0.89) |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( 1.69) | 36.58% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( 1.66) | 73.37% ( -1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Bolivar |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.79% |
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