Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zaro (56')
Duca (51'), Bozhanaj (70'), Pio Riccio (83'),
Strizzolo (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Modena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result |
| Como | Draw | Modena |
47.58% ( 0.1) | 25.95% ( -0.04) | 26.47% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.06) |
| 46.61% ( 0.1) | 53.38% ( -0.1) |
| 25.07% ( 0.08) | 74.92% ( -0.08) |
| 77.56% ( 0.08) | 22.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.03% ( 0.13) | 55.97% ( -0.13) |
| 64.82% ( 0) | 35.18% ( -0) |
