Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
-1.94) 
0.09) 
