SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Catanzaro |
38.43% ( -0.32) | 26.21% ( 0.04) | 35.37% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.14) | 51.13% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.12) | 72.98% ( 0.13) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.24) | 26% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.32) | 61.03% ( 0.33) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.1) | 27.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.66% ( 0.13) | 63.35% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.37% |
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