Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Pisa
37.78% ( 0.02)	27.71% ( 0.01)	34.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.79% (

-0.03)

57.21% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.93% (

-0.02)

78.06% (

0.02)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

-0)

29.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

65.21% (

-0)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

-0.04)

31.3% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

-0.04)

67.65% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Como 37.78%

Pisa 34.5%

Draw 27.7%

Como	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.5%