SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Tunisia |
21.98% ( 0.24) | 29.81% ( 0.07) | 48.21% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 36.77% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.4% ( -0.03) | 68.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.67% ( -0.02) | 86.33% ( 0.02) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.86% ( 0.24) | 48.15% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.66% ( 0.17) | 83.34% ( -0.17) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.18) | 29.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( -0.22) | 65.02% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.98% | 0-0 @ 14% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.8% | 0-1 @ 17.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.17% 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 48.2% |
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