Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.