Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 60.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Concarneau win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.63) 
1.12) 
