Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
0.96) 
-0.25) 
