SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Guinea |
48.45% ( -0.19) | 28.46% ( 0.06) | 23.09% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.73% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.83% ( -0.1) | 64.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.69% ( -0.07) | 83.31% ( 0.07) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.14) | 26.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( -0.19) | 62.11% ( 0.19) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.65% ( 0.07) | 44.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.59% ( 0.05) | 80.4% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.09% |
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