SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Brazil | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Costa Rica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Guadeloupe |
24.7% ( -0.86) | 24.54% ( 0.22) | 50.75% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( -1.66) | 49.08% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( -1.52) | 71.15% ( 1.52) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -1.62) | 34.34% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% ( -1.76) | 71.05% ( 1.76) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.39) | 19.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.88% ( -0.65) | 51.12% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.7% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.75% |
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