SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.63%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 2-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Guadeloupe |
8.8% ( -0) | 13.99% ( -0) | 77.2% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.02) | 30.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.73% ( 0.02) | 52.27% ( -0.02) |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( 0.01) | 43.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( 0) | 79.72% |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( 0.01) | 6.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.72% ( 0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint Kitts and Nevis | Draw | Guadeloupe |
| 2-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.02% 2-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.8% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.66% 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.14% Total : 13.99% | 0-2 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.63% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 8.01% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 6.58% ( 0)1-4 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-5 @ 3.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.99% Total : 77.2% |
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