Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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