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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
CR

Brazil
0 - 0
Costa Rica


Militao (80')
FT

Calvo (53'), Ugalde (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 Costa Rica
Sunday, June 9 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

We said: Brazil 3-0 Costa Rica

The Costa Ricans have had no trouble in World Cup qualifying thus far, but Brazil have an array of talented youngsters and experienced players to call upon, and we believe they will overwhelm Los Ticos, who are still going through a transitional period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
BrazilDrawCosta Rica
61.77% (0.473 0.47) 20.35% (-0.193 -0.19) 17.87% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.75% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.81% (0.426 0.43)39.19% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.48% (0.445 0.45)61.52% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79% (0.265 0.27)12.2% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.12% (0.552 0.55)37.87% (-0.553 -0.55)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)35.35% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (-0.055 -0.05)72.11% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 61.77%
    Costa Rica 17.87%
    Draw 20.35%
BrazilDrawCosta Rica
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.96% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 61.77%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 17.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Grenada 0-3 Costa Rica
Sunday, June 9 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-0 Uruguay
Saturday, June 1 at 3am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-1 Costa Rica
Wednesday, March 27 at 2.50am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 3-1 Honduras
Saturday, March 23 at 11.15pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 El Salvador
Saturday, February 3 at 2am in International Friendlies


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