SM
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sint Maarten win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guadeloupe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Sint Maarten |
68.84% ( 0.12) | 17.76% ( -0) | 13.4% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.24) | 36.11% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.27) | 58.22% ( 0.28) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( -0.04) | 9.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.1% ( -0.09) | 31.9% ( 0.09) |
| Sint Maarten Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.32) | 39.09% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( -0.3) | 75.81% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Sint Maarten |
| 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.76% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.77% Total : 13.4% |
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