SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
40.35% ( -0.24) | 25.25% ( -0.06) | 34.4% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.33) | 47.08% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.31) | 69.32% ( -0.31) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.03) | 23.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.04) | 57.03% ( -0.04) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.34) | 26.41% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( 0.45) | 61.57% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.4% |
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