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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
42.96% ( 0.35) | 24.67% ( -0.01) | 32.37% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( -0.05) | 45.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.05) | 67.37% ( 0.05) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( 0.14) | 21.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( 0.22) | 53.82% ( -0.21) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.23) | 26.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.31) | 61.89% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.37% |
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