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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
41.27% ( -0.1) | 24.41% ( -0.06) | 34.32% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.34) | 43.26% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( 0.33) | 65.65% ( -0.33) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.1) | 21.06% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( 0.15) | 53.87% ( -0.15) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.25) | 24.64% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( 0.35) | 59.16% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 41.27% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.32% |
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