Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 57.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
