Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.