Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
