Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.42) 
