Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.29) 
-0.1) 
