Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
