It may be a close contest between one team struggling in Serie A and another faring well in Italy's second tier, but Cagliari should come out on top and secure progress in the Coppa Italia.
While Cremonese are in good form, the hosts have plenty of experienced pros who can help steady the ship with an overdue home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
