Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
FT(HT: 0-0)
Celia (54')
Pieraccini (10'), Adamo (44'), Mendicino (65'), Ciofi (80')
We said: Pisa 3-1 Cesena
Pisa seem to be heading in the right direction under Pippo Inzaghi, and they are not only top of Serie B at the moment but are also the second tier's leading goalscorers.
An inconsistent Cesena side will therefore exit the Coppa Italia and be left to focus on contending for the playoffs.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Pisa | Draw | Cesena |
44.55% ( -0.96) | 26.15% ( 0.21) | 29.3% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.21) |
| 47.41% ( -0.48) | 52.59% ( 0.48) |
| 25.75% ( -0.41) | 74.25% ( 0.41) |
| 76.49% ( -0.66) | 23.51% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.45% ( -0.97) | 57.55% ( 0.96) |
| 67.45% ( 0.31) | 32.55% ( -0.31) |
