Criciúma are building momentum on home soil, having strung together some positive results, making them favourites against a Fluminense side that have been in poor form all season and are yet to win a single away game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Fluminense
35.72% ( 0.27)	26.45% ( -0.01)	37.83% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 52.68% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

0.04)

52.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

0.04)

73.85% (

-0.04)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.18)

28.03% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.23)

63.68% (

-0.23)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.13)

26.8% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.91% (

-0.17)

62.09% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 35.72%

Fluminense 37.83%

Draw 26.45%

Criciuma	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.72%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.83%