SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
38.61% ( -0.07) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 36.7% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.8% ( -0.06) | 44.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.42% ( -0.06) | 66.58% ( 0.06) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.06) | 22.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.1) | 56.45% ( 0.1) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.01) | 23.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( 0.01) | 57.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.61% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.7% |
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