SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
55.35% ( -0.02) | 21.9% ( 0) | 22.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.01) | 39.34% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( 0.01) | 61.67% ( -0) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( -0) | 14.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( -0.01) | 41.84% ( 0.01) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( 0.02) | 30.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( 0.02) | 66.93% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.35% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.76% |
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