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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 4
Crusaders

Nelson (18'), Taylor (28')
McCullough (8'), Nelson (81'), Taylor (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lecky (11'), Kennedy (67'), Heatley (71'), O'Rourke (74')
Clarke (54'), Lecky (59')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 12.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
12.81% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 19.36% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 67.83% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)67.33% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33% (0.050999999999995 0.05)45.67% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)81.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.75% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)12.25% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)37.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 12.81%
    Crusaders 67.82%
    Draw 19.36%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 12.81%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.36%
0-2 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.74%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 8.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-4 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.82%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Larne
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-1 Ballymena
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Loughgall
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Dungannon
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Glenavon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-2 Crusaders
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Glentoran
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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