SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
43.81% ( -0.08) | 25.37% ( -0.07) | 30.82% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( 0.38) | 48.72% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( 0.34) | 70.82% ( -0.34) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 0.12) | 22.2% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( 0.19) | 55.61% ( -0.19) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.3) | 29.49% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( 0.36) | 65.5% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.81% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.82% |
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