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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 3
Crusaders

Hale (48'), Hale (50'), Gormley (58')
Gallagher (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Heatley (1', 90+2'), O'Rourke (51')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
30.46% (0.325 0.32) 27.44% (-0.166 -0.17) 42.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.3% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91% (0.71599999999999 0.72)57.09% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.57 0.57)77.96% (-0.569 -0.57)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.622 0.62)34.04% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.666 0.67)70.72% (-0.666 -0.67)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.25 0.25)26.77% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.328 0.33)62.04% (-0.326 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 30.46%
    Crusaders 42.1%
    Draw 27.44%
CliftonvilleDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.094 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.46%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 12.01% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Glentoran 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Coleraine
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-2 Dungannon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Cliftonville
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Crusaders
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 2-2 Crusaders
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-2 Cliftonville
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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