Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Coleraine
58.98% ( 0.61)	21.32% ( -0.09)	19.69% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 56.76% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.21% (

-0.34)

40.78% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.83% (

-0.35)

63.17% (

0.35)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

0.07)

13.52% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.43% (

0.15)

40.57% (

-0.15)

Coleraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63% (

-0.71)

34.36% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93% (

-0.77)

71.07% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 58.98%

Coleraine 19.69%

Draw 21.32%

Crusaders	Draw	Coleraine
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.98%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.32%	1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.69%