SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
31.67% ( -0.59) | 25.25% ( 0.18) | 43.08% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( -1) | 47.82% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.92) | 70.01% ( 0.92) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.87) | 28.47% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -1.1) | 64.24% ( 1.1) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0.24) | 22.16% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.45% ( -0.36) | 55.55% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.08% |
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