SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
60.79% ( -0.06) | 22.19% ( 0.03) | 17.01% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.09) | 48.75% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% ( -0.08) | 70.86% ( 0.08) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.05) | 15.58% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( -0.09) | 44.55% ( 0.09) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.02) | 42.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.5% ( -0.02) | 78.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 60.78% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
