NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result |
| Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
20.05% ( 0) | 22.94% | 57.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0.01) |
| 52.58% ( 0.01) | 47.42% ( -0.01) |
| 30.37% ( 0.01) | 69.63% ( -0.01) |
| 62.18% ( 0.01) | 37.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.4% ( 0.01) | 74.6% ( -0.01) |
| 83.6% ( 0) | 16.4% ( -0) |
