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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Coleraine
0 - 2
Crusaders


Jarvis (77'), Glackin (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larmour (20'), Forsythe (44' pen.)
Jarvis (46'), Boyd (63'), Forsythe (82')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Coleraine and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Cliftonville
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
20.05% (0.004999999999999 0) 22.94%57.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (0.007000000000005 0.01)47.42% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.82% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.6% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)16.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Coleraine 20.05%
    Crusaders 57%
    Draw 22.94%
ColeraineDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 20.05%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 11.21%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 2-2 Coleraine
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-1 Glentoran
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-2 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 0-0 Larne
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-1 Cliftonville
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Linfield
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Crusaders
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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