Cruz Azul are huge favourites to get the job done and anything less than three points would be deemed disappointing. We fancy the hosts to cruise to a relatively routine win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
59.33% ( 1.3)	21.56% ( -0.09)	19.11% ( -1.21)

Both teams to score 54.92% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27% (

-1.37)

42.72% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87% (

-1.38)

65.12% (

1.38)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.95% (

-0.05)

14.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.39% (

-0.09)

41.6% (

0.09)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

-2.04)

36.1% (

2.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-2.14)

72.88% (

2.14)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 59.33%

Mazatlan 19.11%

Draw 21.55%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.33%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.55%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.11%