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Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Mar 30, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
2 - 0
Tijuana

Amarilla (41'), Bello (90+2')
Maduena (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Castaneda (43'), Madrigal (68'), Zuniga (71')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 5-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 16 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
49.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.07% (0.15 0.15) 26.73% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.42% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (-0.616 -0.62)45.41% (0.613 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (-0.593 -0.59)67.75% (0.587 0.59)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-0.324 -0.32)18.54% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (-0.547 -0.55)49.79% (0.543 0.54)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.274 -0.27)30.74% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.325 -0.32)66.99% (0.31999999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 49.19%
    Club Tijuana 26.73%
    Draw 24.07%
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.153 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 49.19%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 5-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, March 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 2 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Mazatlan
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, February 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-2 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 16 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-3 Tijuana
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Club Leon
Monday, March 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Monterrey
Thursday, February 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-0 Tijuana
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-3 Tijuana
Saturday, February 17 at 11pm in Liga MX


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