Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Cruz Azul
29.36% ( -0.21)	26.64% ( 0.56)	43.99% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.51% (

-2.29)

54.49% (

2.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.15% (

-1.94)

75.85% (

1.94)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-1.35)

33.49% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87% (

-1.5)

70.12% (

1.5)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

-1.17)

24.61% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.88% (

-1.67)

59.12% (

1.67)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 29.36%

Cruz Azul 43.99%

Draw 26.64%

Mazatlan	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.36%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.99%