SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
53.48% ( -0.38) | 25.33% ( 0.03) | 21.18% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.25) | 55.46% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 0.2) | 76.65% ( -0.2) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.06) | 20.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -0.09) | 53.39% ( 0.09) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( 0.51) | 41.25% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.22% ( 0.45) | 77.77% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.18% |
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